Monthly Archives: January 2012

Ron Paul 2012: How He Can Influence the Republican Nomination

Texas Congressman Ron Paul continues to score high in national electability polls. On Tuesday, A USA Today/Gallup poll found that if the election were held today, Paul would get 46 percent of the vote compared to President Barack Obama’s 49 percent.

The two are in a statistical tie, but Paul doesn’t have a broader base of support from Florida’s Republican to win Tuesday’s winner-take-all primary. Paul is also at a disadvantage with the media. The press hasn’t given him the same amount of coverage as they do the other candidates.

Assuming he won’t win the nomination, what could he do to influence the outcome of the general election?

Ron Paul could run as a third-party or independent candidate:

Although this is a compelling idea, he is unlikely to make it happen. Paul has been adamant about saying he won’t run as an independent. The main issue is that Paul has pumped a lot of resources into Campaign for Liberty, his political action committee focused on cultivating “Ron Paul Republicans” — voters who want to see a more libertarian focus in the party.

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The organization has helped him push his philosophy into the mainstream, and this election cycle shows that — but a third-party run would likely erase these gains. Paul has a lot of support from significant party activists and donors (e.g. members of the U.S. military) and he has raised about $32 million for the organization through September 2011.

But these influential forces are unlikely to give the same support for an independent run because Paul would split the Republican vote — which would help President Obama win re-election.

That’s what happened in the 1992 and 2000 elections. Ross Perot’s took votes from George H. W. Bush, while Ralph Nader subsequently eroded Al Gore’s final tally.

Paul could threaten a third-party run to get the VP slot or be a cabinet member:

It’s probably less likely that (likely GOP nominee) Mitt Romney would choose Paul as his running mate; he’s most likely going to pick a social conservative governor to balance the ticket. But Newt Gingrich has been making gestures toward Paul, implying that he sees a significant role for Paul in a possible administration. Gingrich has made complimentary remarks about Paul in the press as of late.

Paul’s supporters are lower-income and younger. If Gingrich were to make Paul his running mate, Gingrich would be better situated to beat President Obama. Gingrich has strong support from evangelicals and older voters, so he’s going to need to balance that out with other demographic segments. The key to winning the presidency is to reach a broad base of voters.

John Kerry lost in 2004, partly because he only got votes from young and old Democrats living in urban areas. Romney would do better in November with younger voters on his side – most of his supporters are older urbanites.

Paul could win enough delegates to set-up a nomination fight at in Tampa:

If Paul has a good share of delegates coming out of the primaries, his count could give him a bargaining chip to force the nominee to include him as part of a possible administration.
This would be especially true if Paul threatens a third-party run, or teams up with Gingrich to combine their numbers to force Romney’s hand. This, of course, depends on the final delegate count, and whether or not Gingrich stays in the race.

If Romney wraps up the nomination in the next couple of primaries, Paul would be in a weaker position at the convention, but he could still compel Romney to make some gestures toward him.

Final Thought

Regardless of the outcome of this year’s GOP primary race, Ron Paul has made an impact on the Republican Party, and as we move through the next decade, libertarians are likely to become the party’s majority coalition — especially if younger, ambitious libertarians adopt an evolved version of Paul’s philosophy and win elections. These politicians will eventually shift the conservative dialogue away from social conservatives.

The long-term prospects for Ron Paul’s libertarianism bode well, but it’s up to how Paul uses his power in this year’s race to determine whether or not a libertarian candidate becomes a key factor in influencing the outcome of the presidential election.

Jamie Chandler is a political scientist and American Politics scholar at Hunter College in New York City.

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Ron Paul 2012: How He Can Influence the Republican Nomination

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Ron Paul Sign Wave in Pensacola FL – Video


29-01-2012 19:26 http://www.RonPaul.com -Please like, share, subscribe and comment! 1 Ron Paul is America’s leading voice for limited, constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, and a pro-America foreign policy. To spread the message, visit and promote the following websites: http://www.RonPaul.com http http://www.RonPaul2012.com http http://www.RonPaulCountry.com http http://www.DailyPaul.com http http://www.RonPaulFlix.com

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Ron Paul Sign Wave in Pensacola FL – Video

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Ron Paul Heads to Nevada: Strategy Called 'Odd'

While his GOP rivals duke it out in a bloody Florida primary on Tuesday, Ron Paul will continue stumping for votes in the caucus states that dominate the political calendar over the next week.

Paul does well in caucus states, where superior organization and passionate supporters play to his strengths and could allow the Texas congressman to pick up more delegates than Gingrich and Santorum combined this week.

Even Republican strategist Karl Rove admitted that strategy provides Paul the biggest advantage over the next week while speaking on Fox News Monday night.

“I think it's going to be a advantage of Ron Paul,” Rove said on “On The Record with Greta Van Susteren.” “He's been spending a lot of time on caucus states. His campaign manager announced this is going to be a big focus.”

While Florida Republicans will hit the polls on Tuesday, Paul will be stumping in Colorado and then Nevada.

The Paul campaign said they are heavily focused on picking up Nevada's 34 delegates by turning out Hispanic and Mormon voters.

It's a strategy Eric Herzik, chair of the Political Science Department at the University of Nevada Reno, finds “odd.”

“It's an odd strategy – Republican Latinos are not a big demographic group,” Herzik told ABC News. “I don't see what the natural link is with these groups.”

Most Hispanics don't vote Republican, and Romney has a lock on his fellow Mormons, said Herzik adding, “It's his vote to lose.”

Despite that, Paul's message of limited government and individual liberties plays well in Nevada, which is a conservative anti-tax state but also has liberal pro-choice laws and the lowest average attendance of church in the nation, Herzik said.

Paul's campaign has been running television ads in Nevada since last summer, and senior aides add that they will continue to run them in the state through the Feb. 4 caucuses.

The Las Vegas Sun reports that Paul has spent $350,000 on air time in the state.

Flush with cash from a $13 million fundraising haul last quarter, Paul said he's staying in the race through the convention.

When asked on CNBC Monday night if he would accept a speaking role at the convention, Paul said he'll wait to see what the circumstances are.

“They are not going to give you a primetime spot if you talk about bringing back the gold standard and bringing the troops home,” said Paul.

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Ron Paul Best Choice for a Strong Defense – Video


27-01-2012 22:48 http://www.RonPaul.com -Please like, share, subscribe and comment! 1 Ron Paul is America’s leading voice for limited, constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, and a pro-America foreign policy. To spread the message, visit and promote the following websites: http://www.RonPaul.com http http://www.RonPaul2012.com http http://www.RonPaulCountry.com http http://www.DailyPaul.com http http://www.RonPaulFlix.com

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Ron Paul Best Choice for a Strong Defense – Video

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"We Like Ron Paul" – Fox News Focus Group and Fox Five Panel – Video


29-01-2012 18:56 http://www.RonPaul.com -Please like, share, subscribe and comment! 1 Video by http://www.youtube.com Ron Paul is America’s leading voice for limited, constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, and a pro-America foreign policy. To spread the message, visit and promote the following websites: http://www.RonPaul.com http http://www.RonPaul2012.com http http://www.RonPaulCountry.com http http://www.DailyPaul.com http http://www.RonPaulFlix.com

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"We Like Ron Paul" – Fox News Focus Group and Fox Five Panel – Video

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Ron Paul Campaigns in Southern Maine – Video


29-01-2012 19:01 http://www.RonPaul.com -Please like, share, subscribe and comment! 1 WLBZ2 Ron Paul is America’s leading voice for limited, constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, and a pro-America foreign policy. To spread the message, visit and promote the following websites: http://www.RonPaul.com http http://www.RonPaul2012.com http http://www.RonPaulCountry.com http http://www.DailyPaul.com http http://www.RonPaulFlix.com

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Ron Paul Campaigns in Southern Maine – Video

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Ron Paul at the University of Southern Maine – Video


29-01-2012 19:02 http://www.RonPaul.com -Please like, share, subscribe and comment! 1 Ron Paul is America’s leading voice for limited, constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, and a pro-America foreign policy. To spread the message, visit and promote the following websites: http://www.RonPaul.com http http://www.RonPaul2012.com http http://www.RonPaulCountry.com http http://www.DailyPaul.com http http://www.RonPaulFlix.com

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Ron Paul on CNN State of the Union – Video


29-01-2012 19:12 http://www.RonPaul.com -Please like, share, subscribe and comment! 1 Ron Paul is America’s leading voice for limited, constitutional government, low taxes, free markets, sound money, and a pro-America foreign policy. To spread the message, visit and promote the following websites: http://www.RonPaul.com http http://www.RonPaul2012.com http http://www.RonPaulCountry.com http http://www.DailyPaul.com http http://www.RonPaulFlix.com

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Ron Paul on CNN State of the Union – Video

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Ron Paul's Appealing to Mormons

Illustration by Ed Wexler

He's the only Mormon in the presidential race, but that doesn't mean Mitt Romney is the only candidate Mormons support. Another favorite White House hopeful? Ron Paul, whose demand that Washington strictly adhere to the Constitution has some members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints singing his praise.

“You cannot grow up in the church and not hear of and be taught that the Constitution is an inspired document,” says Connor Boyack, a Mormon who heads the Utah Tenth Amendment Center. “And when it comes to who best supports and defends the Constitution, Ron Paul is that guy.”

[Check out political cartoons about the 2012 GOP field.]

In Paul's hunt for convention delegates, the Mormon vote will be key in early caucus states such as Nevada, where 25 percent of GOP caucus-goers in 2008 were LDS members. Exit polls from 2008 show nine of 10 Mormon voters cast ballots for Romney, but the Texas congressman is seeing a surge in support there and elsewhere.

While the Salt Lake City-based church does not officially endorse any candidate for president, members like Boyack have been preaching the gospel of Ron Paul. Boyack explains that Romney might be a brother in faith, but Paul's commitment to upholding the tenets of the Constitution make him a more ideological choice for Mormons. A controversial and sometimes persecuted group, Mormons have historically looked to the Constitution as a safeguard to preserve their religious freedom. The Constitution is even mentioned in the church's Doctrine and Covenants, described as revelations to the church's founder, Joseph Smith. Brigham Young University religion professor Richard Bennett says the devotion to the Constitution came after an 1833 attack on a Mormon church in Missouri. Bennett says God told Smith to use the Constitution to fight the persecution of his church. [Read: Ron Paul Resonates with Latino Voters in Florida.]

Paul's team has been quick to highlight the Mormon support, setting up a special “Latter Day Saints for Ron Paul” Facebook page (“liked” by over 1,300 fans). It's one of a number dedicated to pro-Paul coalitions, including evangelicals, Protestants, and Catholics, as well as truckers, gamers, and accountants. The candidate is also featured in a five-minute Web ad, recycled from the 2008 campaign, titled, “Ron Paul preserves, protects, defends LDS Constitution view.”

Paul spokesman Gary Howard says, “Members of the LDS church make up one of those important coalitions, all of which are great assets in this campaign. Dr. Paul's message resonates with everyone who believes in the principles he espouses: limited government, personal and economic liberty.”

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Ron Paul's Appealing to Mormons

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Paul's Nevada Strategy Called 'Odd'

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Paul's Nevada Strategy Called 'Odd'

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